Stage Confidence is a simple heuristic score that helps estimate how reliably a token fits its current lifecycle stage (Shell · Sprout · Blast · Gone).

We use lightweight, rule-based signals:

• • Liquidity growth trend (momentum vs. age)
• • Current liquidity depth
• • Age on the bonding curve
• • Basic pattern checks such as unusual naming or suspicious metadata
• • Simple risk heuristics for detecting early rug-like behavior

These signals are updated frequently based on the latest Pump.fun data.

Stage Confidence is not a financial prediction, but a quick reference to understand how strong or weak a token appears relative to others in similar stages.